Today, Russia is both a military and energy superpower. China is an economic and military superpower developing a very capable nuclear as well as conventional arsenal. While history, geography and culture do not make for an ideal partnership, both countries are hostile towards the U.S. And unlike the Cold War, today’s dialogue between the U.S.
Military power was the Soviet Union’s mainstay. China was weak and far from becoming a major military and economic power. China also was vital to “triangular politics” and gaining leverage in bringing detente between Moscow and Washington. Second, Cold War 2.0 likewise is a misnomer. None of the conditions of the original Cold War are present today. That Cold War paradigm was based on containing and deterring the Soviet Union from expansion and aggression through a ring of military alliances, principally NATO, largely relying on military force. Thermonuclear weapons spawned the double-edged acronym MAD (Mutual Assured Destruction) and the specter of global Armageddon, making war unwinable and thus deterrable.
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Nor has the argument been made as to why competition as opposed to other interactions is appropriate and how to measure success or failure. What is the end point of a military competition - a war, a stand-off or a permanent arms race? And what restraints are in place to prevent a repeat of the early 20th century GPC from exploding into another world war? First, none of the last three administrations has precisely defined what GPC means, where it applies and where it does not.
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